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Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.
Posted By: Narcogen <narcogen@rampancy.net>Date: 7/13/11 8:30 a.m.

In Response To: Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back. (Louis Wu)


: Again - remember that when Halo 3 launched, the worldwide installed base of
: Xbox 360s was below 15M.

: It's now above 55M.

: Having the same number of players as a game that came out when a quarter as
: many consoles were out in the wild isn't really impressive.

Yup. Exactly.

[snip]

: I am not for a MINUTE saying Reach is a failure, or that Spencer thinks it's
: a failure, or that Spencer even SAID it's a failure. (I think, actually,
: that he misspoke, and would love a chance to retract or rephrase his
: words.) I'm saying that it's not as successful, financially, as its
: predecessors, based on its POTENTIAL market at the time of release. That's
: all. That's a simple fact.

Why back away from that, though? Okay, I realize a lot of people will just focus on that. But when a publicly held company doesn't meet quarterly earning expectations, they say it "fails to meet estimates".

Here we have a reasonable standard for expected growth, and Reach is clearly on the low end of any reasonable sales estimate. "Failure" is a very relative term, and of course in all but the most extreme cases, a company like MS is going to avoid that word completely. I think you've characterized it correctly, though, and I think that characterization is consistent with the idea of "failure" in the sense of "much less of a success than any reasonable and conservative person would expect"-- to say nothing of someone who might have expected some leveling off as the franchise seeks its natural level, but still thought that the franchise would track linearly with the increase in the 360's installed base.

: Personally, I play Reach MUCH more than I've played ANY of its predecessors.
: My personal opinion here is irrelevant.

Campaign or multi? I've stopped playing Reach's campaign. I haven't looked at the hours but I think I've probably not logged as many hours as Halo 3 or Halo 2 (perhaps not even ODST) and recently I've been thinking of going back to replay some H3. If it weren't for podcast episodes the hours for ODST would be even lower.

rampancy.net



Message Index




Replies:

One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.padraig08 7/11/11 7:05 p.m.
     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.SonofMacPhisto 7/11/11 7:12 p.m.
           Phil Spencer is wrong about ODST.Captain Spark 7/11/11 7:45 p.m.
     Re: Where's the step forward? *NM*pete_the_duck 7/11/11 7:13 p.m.
           The foot in his mouth. *NM*rhubarb 7/11/11 7:16 p.m.
           Re: Where's the step forward?padraig08 7/11/11 7:27 p.m.
                 Re: Where's the step forward?SonofMacPhisto 7/11/11 7:33 p.m.
     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.squidnh3 7/11/11 7:22 p.m.
           Well when going up against Bungie.....PsychoRaven 7/11/11 11:44 p.m.
                 Re: Well when going up against Bungie.....Kalamari 7/12/11 10:24 a.m.
     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Kalamari 7/11/11 7:25 p.m.
           That's what I'm afraid of. *NM*padraig08 7/11/11 7:27 p.m.
     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Dagoonite 7/11/11 7:37 p.m.
     Two More Steps into Pseudo Journalistic Crap.DEEP NNN 7/11/11 7:43 p.m.
           Re: Two More Steps into Pseudo Journalistic Crap.General Vagueness 7/11/11 8:05 p.m.
                 Re: Two More Steps into Pseudo Journalistic Crap.Cody Miller 7/11/11 8:20 p.m.
     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Azo 'Galvat 7/11/11 8:11 p.m.
     Things that make you go "Hmm."AngelicLionheart 7/11/11 8:45 p.m.
     I believe one of the reasons people want MC now...Leviathan 7/11/11 9:13 p.m.
     Am I the only one...Phoenix_9286 7/11/11 9:35 p.m.
     Welp, looks like Microsoft has no idea about HaloAvateur 7/11/11 9:44 p.m.
           Beautiful.Hyokin 7/11/11 10:01 p.m.
           Re: Welp, looks like Microsoft has no idea about HSIX min WHISTLE 7/11/11 10:44 p.m.
                 Re: Welp, looks like Microsoft has no idea about HAzo 'Galvat 7/11/11 11:54 p.m.
           I disagreeghost faction 7/12/11 1:45 p.m.
           Re: Welp, looks like Microsoft has no idea about HGeneral Vagueness 7/12/11 1:56 p.m.
     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Ragashingo 7/11/11 9:46 p.m.
     Joystiqs take on itSqorck 7/11/11 10:28 p.m.
           Re: Joystiqs take on itAvateur 7/11/11 10:33 p.m.
                 Re: Joystiqs take on itZackDark 7/11/11 10:37 p.m.
                       Re: Joystiqs take on itDEEP NNN 7/11/11 10:49 p.m.
                             Re: Joystiqs take on itAvateur 7/11/11 11:14 p.m.
                                   Re: Joystiqs take on itAvateur 7/11/11 11:18 p.m.
                                   Re: Joystiqs take on itPhoenix_9286 7/12/11 12:27 a.m.
                                         Re: Joystiqs take on itRagashingo 7/12/11 1:00 a.m.
                                   Re: Joystiqs take on itDEEP NNN 7/12/11 6:36 a.m.
                                         Re: Joystiqs take on itAvateur 7/12/11 5:18 p.m.
                                               Re: Joystiqs take on itQuirel 7/12/11 5:35 p.m.
                                                     Re: Joystiqs take on itAvateur 7/12/11 6:42 p.m.
                                               Re: Joystiqs take on itDEEP NNN 7/12/11 6:18 p.m.
                                                     Re: Joystiqs take on itAvateur 7/12/11 6:45 p.m.
                             Re: Joystiqs take on itStephen L. (SoundEffect) 7/12/11 6:17 a.m.
                                   Re: Joystiqs take on itDEEP NNN 7/12/11 6:28 a.m.
                                         Re: Joystiqs take on itStephen L. (SoundEffect) 7/12/11 6:50 a.m.
                             Re: Joystiqs take on itNarcogen 7/13/11 8:23 a.m.
     Git the Hell off mah lawn!Quirel 7/11/11 10:52 p.m.
           Re: Git the Hell off mah lawn!Asian Inferno 7/12/11 11:47 a.m.
     That's annoyingJoony Joon 7/12/11 6:53 a.m.
     Wow.Louis Wu 7/12/11 9:05 a.m.
           Re: Wow.Beckx 7/12/11 9:36 a.m.
           Re: Wow.Leviathan 7/12/11 9:57 a.m.
                 Re: Wow.Hedgemony 7/12/11 10:06 a.m.
                       Re: Wow.Revenant1988 7/12/11 10:27 a.m.
                             Re: Wow.ZackDark 7/12/11 11:37 a.m.
                       Re: Wow.Kermit 7/12/11 2:46 p.m.
                             Re: Wow.Hedgemony 7/12/11 5:19 p.m.
                                   Re: Wow.Avateur 7/12/11 7:01 p.m.
           Re: Wow.DEEP NNN 7/12/11 2:28 p.m.
                 Re: Wow.Louis Wu 7/12/11 2:41 p.m.
                 Re: Wow.SIX min WHISTLE 7/12/11 5:41 p.m.
                       Re: Wow.DEEP NNN 7/12/11 6:32 p.m.
           Re: Wow.Narcogen 7/13/11 8:18 a.m.
     Screw their H4, I want my Halo Wars 2 dammit! *NM*kornman00 7/12/11 10:53 a.m.
           Re: Screw their H4, I want my Halo Wars 2 dammit!Asian Inferno 7/12/11 11:48 a.m.
                 Halo 4 and Halo Wars 2 *Major SP*NsU Soldier 7/13/11 5:04 a.m.
                       Re: Halo 4 and Halo Wars 2 *Major SP*Avateur 7/13/11 5:24 a.m.
                             Re: Halo 4 and Halo Wars 2 *Major SP*NsU Soldier 7/13/11 7:51 a.m.
                                   Also....NsU Soldier 7/13/11 9:58 a.m.
                                         Re: Also....Avateur 7/13/11 10:48 a.m.
     Yeah, he doesn't get it. *NM*BlueNinja 7/12/11 3:29 p.m.
     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Time Glitch 7/12/11 5:01 p.m.
           Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.DEEP NNN 7/12/11 6:35 p.m.
                 Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Avateur 7/12/11 7:07 p.m.
                       Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.DEEP NNN 7/12/11 7:28 p.m.
                             Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Louis Wu 7/12/11 8:13 p.m.
                                   Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Avateur 7/13/11 3:51 a.m.
                                   Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.DEEP NNN 7/13/11 7:01 a.m.
                                   Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Narcogen 7/13/11 8:30 a.m.
                                         Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Louis Wu 7/13/11 8:53 a.m.
                                         Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Cody Miller 7/13/11 11:41 a.m.
                                               Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Louis Wu 7/13/11 12:44 p.m.
                                                     Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Cody Miller 7/13/11 8:12 p.m.
                                               Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.General Vagueness 7/13/11 1:24 p.m.
                                   Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.RC Master 7/13/11 9:10 a.m.
                                         Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.Louis Wu 7/13/11 9:34 a.m.
                                               Re: One Step Forward and Two Steps Back.RC Master 7/13/11 5:11 p.m.
     Halo 1, ODST, and Reach...SPARTAN-034 7/12/11 9:30 p.m.
           Re: Halo 1, ODST, and Reach...Quirel 7/12/11 11:47 p.m.
           Re: Halo 1, ODST, and Reach...MacGyver10 7/13/11 4:33 p.m.



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