Frequently Asked Forum Questions | ||||
Search Older Posts on This Forum: Posts on Current Forum | Archived Posts | ||||
Re: SUPERFUD IS FINALLY REPLIED TO | |
Posted By: Kellen Squire <squire@coronafilm.biz> | Date: 5/24/02 12:23 a.m. |
In Response To: SUPERFUD! :) (Narcogen) Oh ho, your secret dastardly plan has failed! No class today! Mwah hahahaha! : Well, it must be the former, since it certainly isn't the latter. Either
No, actually, you just miss a lot of stuff that us people who spend waaaayyy too much time on the Internet would get. Since I've decided you know a lot more than I took you to know, I'll assume it isn't the business thing. : No offense, of course, but if you want to take cheap shots, we can waste
Cool! I'll start! j00 4r3 0wnZ3d! I'll also start the not-related-to-anything topic and state that, for the record, Dave Thomas isn't dead. He's cooking burgers for Tupac. : Try starting with Advertising Age. *shudder* Please, don't do that to me. The last time I thought of an age comprised entirely of advertising, it took me a week to clean the sheets. : MS spent a quarter of a billion just on Christmas 2001/2002. For the XBOX, or Microsoft overall? : The five-year plan for Xbox marketing is $2 Billion. This figure was just
Over five years, ahhhhh. This sounds much more reas... uhhmm... well... not-bad. : http://www.adage.com/news.cms?newsId=34845 Cool. : Incidentally, that article also cites the worldwide installed base for the
Yep. Sounds about right. : With a year of lead time, and only from Nov til now for the Xbox to sell, one
Well, uhmm, that's the sticking point, isn't it? PS2 was like the Star Wars movies. Oooh, hey, that's a good analogy! I'll use it later. : This is a well-known, well-publicized figure discussed in the past 6-9 months
Okay, I'll settle this once and for all. That was a joke, I was insinuating that I'd been in Bill Gate's pants. Other than having to keep an eye on what they do for The Holm Depot (Professor Holm is my Marketing teacher) because I gotta (along with a few other companies), I don't have any "insider information," per se. : Of course MS has made profit. But not on Xbox, which was the context of the
Ahh, but I think that maybe it does. Hold on while I go look up the balance sheets for Sony and Nintendo... ... Hold on, the guy next to me and I are in a PS2/XBOX fight about quality... ... Here we go. Nintendo grossed $3.6 billion and profited $764 million off of that last FY. Sony grossed somewhere around $60 billion in revenue and got- HOLY SHIT. $164 million in profits? That's not in yen, is it, or something? No... that's what the Sony Investor Relations site says... holy shit! That's a frickin' razor thin profit margin. Wow- I hadn't realized that before. Microsoft grossed $25 billion and made $9.4 in profits. And, just to let everyone know, Exxon Mobil is #1 in the world for revenue AND for profits. The price-gouging bastards. But, here's why I wanted to compare it. Nintendo can afford to use all the moola they get on Gamecube and games, because, well, that's about all they do. Sony does lots of stuff, and now that I see their profit margins are really thin, if they got into a pissing contest with Microsoft... however, I didn't look into how their revenue worked out for costs, but I'm going to assume a large chunk of the revenue came from PS2- and was spent on it. Microsoft obviously has the money to burn. They're ideally set in a price war, from what I can tell. That's why total income counted. : Again, it's a generally acknowledged (and announced by MS) fact. Plus
Google is too hard to use. I never go there. I just try to think of sites that might exist about the topics I want to look up, and go there. In fact, the other day, I found the www.whitehouse.com website. I figure Clinton must have put that one up. : Never liked NASCAR. Pick a different analogy :) Never! My analogy r0x0rz! : See, that's a little strange. As much as I may dislike MS, for various
Like I said- I think Sony and Microsoft will be dukin' it out for 1st and 2nd place, with Gamecube bringing up 3rd. But not a non-profitable 3rd. Neither Sony or Microsoft, at this rate, will dominate the other. : They haven't done the latter. Neither have they proven they can do the
Well, yeah... to go as well as Microsoft would have liked, they'd have needed to suddenly own the world. Of course they didn't do as well as they'd have liked to. But their intention was never to really challenge Sony this round, but to set themselves up to do so in the future. : In the meanwhile, it seems like lots of Xbox owners and MS boosters have
Both sides are dumb. The business world can go either way, no matter what. : I think a realistic reading of the data shows that MS isn't exactly out of
Sure there is- watch. ahem. Microsoft is winning. See? That was easy. : Only a poor writer blames his readers. Or is that "only a poor workman
It's neither! it's I BLAME YOU! YOU'RE THE REASON EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE IS GOING WRONG! : As for sarcasm and satire, I'm fairly familiar with both, and your intimation
To lose one parent is a misfortune; to lose both is a carelessness! Pffaw meshew. : No. The market leaders always have a choice. No way! Nuh-uh. Never. Not a chance. Market leaders hardly ever have a choice on how to act, unless they want to lose their position. I could go into more detail, but now you have more ground to object and continue our debate. : No conceivable increase in Xbox sales over the life of the console could
Ya, buddy. That's right. Sony's scared of The Ghost of PS2 Future. Y'know? Where Sony goes to bed one Christmas, then is visited by three ghosts during the night? The one that tells them MS could easily kick their ass if they're not careful in the next go-round? : So Sony *did* have a choice. Instead of choosing to ignore MS and let them
We disagree on this point, apparently. Frankly, I don't understand why, because I'm obviously right. ;) : First, I don't think they could do it "easily". If it was easy,
No, they could do it easily. No doubt about it. I could easily make a million dollars tomorrow- but I don't have the slightest clue how I'd do it. See what I mean? That's business. You can't plow ahead with the same strategy and goals forever, like you could years ago. Sony makes a mistake? Microsoft could eat them alive. Vice versa. : It's a fine distinction. But you're telling your story entirely from the
Well, duh, I'm being BRIBED, genius. No, seriously. Had XBOX not come along, PS2'd never have dropped their price. And if XBOX hadn't been planning to do so, PS2 wouldn't have, either. I'll betcha good money. Even though the point is moot now. : [snip] *snap!* : Ah, there again we are in complete agreement :) Hurrah! : Not lately. When will your Bachelor's in Business Administration be finished,
Marketing, you pointy-haired upper executive type. : And at any rate, we hadn't even been delving into the two companies' stock
Oh my God... You understand what I'm talking about! AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH! MY ENTIRE LINE OF DEFENSE IS RUINED! THE HORROR! : The only thing I think the hard financial data can tell us is what resources
I suppose so. Trying to beat one in sheer stamina'd wouldn't get anywhere productive. Like I said- one or the other of 'em will have to get a lead on the other somewhere. : I think we can probably agree on that. Well, then I change my mind and think exactly the opposite of what I did before. *snip* : You cannot consider the console without the games. The console without a game
Sure I can. *considers the console without the games* There. Now, in response to the above, you're right. : I'm not saying that's not the case, I'm saying it's impossible to discuss the
You don't have to rub it in, asshole. : Ah, OK-- no, I didn't see the reference that way, I thought you were making
Linux? Bah. I'm putting my money into Kelldows, my own OS. : But anyway, I'd still disagree. If Sony can't celebrate after selling ten
They did the cha cha cha before XBOX came out, and, had XBOX flopped, probably would have again. At most, they had an awkward sushi dinner- not a party. : Perhaps the real answer is "never"-- that's certainly the way MS
Awww, but Billy's sweet and sensitive, with hordes of powerful killer robots at his command! : I think that's probably where we disagree the most. I think MS is paranoid,
: If their expectations had been really low-- let's say, sales figures about
Well, hmm, I think maybe they didn't have expectations- only what they were hoping for. Before XBOX came out and I'd played HALO, I was all, "Ugh. XBOX? I dunno, Microsoft, sounds like you're getting into more than you can handle," and went back to playing Armored Core 2. Microsoft probably realized they could have about 5 consoles sold, and that nobody would want the XBOX. But that was wrong, and they enjoy the amount of success they do now. I bet that 1/10th of Sony's sales was cause enough to enjoy a cheap California sparkling white wine. Twice of what they have now, I'd think, would bring out the real champagne. : In short-- I don't think if their worst case had really been that bad, that
Hey, woah. I think I just said that. : The console market is *very* cyclical. They could just as well have decided
I dunno, Microsoft could lose lots of it's capital come a few years down the road. I think they figured it was now, or never, that they stepped in. But I know what you mean. This afternoon, when I got home from school, a Microsoft MSN Hunter/Killer bot and a Sony Killatech Robo Puppy were duking it out behind my couch. The neighbors told me that some Powerpoint commandos took on some Secret Viao Assasains and got really messed up. : OMG NOE! y3$! w00t! : [snip] : I don't think they ignore them-- I just don't think they fear them in a
I like that analogy. Doesn't work perfect though. How about... the Master Chief sneaking up on a Hunter with a combat knife? The MC could win, the MC could get blown out of his Mjolnir armor, or the two of them could do a snappy song-and-dance number. Okay... my analogy wasn't perfect, either. : So.. you want it both ways? Sony both fears and ignores MS? Which is it? ;) No, silly. They didn't ignore MS, which many people thought they ought to do. Instead, they fear 'em- or, if not fear, care about making sure they're #1 forever. : Hmm... I still don't think it rises to that level. The Xbox is an incremental
2x to 3x the power and capabilites... Well, it's more than incremental, but not earth shattering. : What do you mean, "nope"? nope
: 1) It's evolutionary. It's a box that plays games on your TV. These existed
Because I said so, and because nobody's ever done that before. Maye not be impressively revolutionary, but it seems like it sure is revolutionary to me. : 2) It's parts-bin innovation. All the components are used in other products
Uh huh. And you think they designed all the PS2 parts from scratch, eh? : If this is a revolutionary product, categorically different from all that has
I already explained. : It just as easily be MS in that third spot. In terms of worldwide installed
Naw. Nintendo can't fight with Microsoft or Sony. They'll find a nitch and stick to it, and make a good living at #3. : Good grief, man... based on what? Charlie Brown? : Sony's installed base worldwide is 30 million, sold in a period of about 18
: MS' worldwide installed base is 3.5 million, sold in a period of about 7
1.6 million a month versus 500,000. : Work out the figures for sales worldwide per month, then plot a graph showing
Toldja. Not in this go round. But I'll put money on the line says Microsoft'll reach 'bout 10 million, but Sony won't reach another 4 million. : Actually, let's go ahead and do it out: 3.5 M sold over 7 months = .5M per
: 30 M sold over 18 months = 1.6M per month Don't copy my work. : So Sony's been averaging more than 300% more unit sales per month. Yep. : Even if Sony's sales are cut in HALF, and MS' sales DOUBLE, and we follow
Sales'll drop dramatically for PS2, I think, because the market's flooded with 'em. There's only so many gamers. But XBOX is another story- only time will tell for sure, tho. : Even if you take off the last year of that for Sony but not for MS (given
: The gap is just too large. Well, it's time for me to set Godzilla loose on Tokyo. Again. You think they'd get tired of it by now. : And despite that, there's little or no rationale from anyone-- even MS-- for
What I said above is what I think'll happen. : In fact... according to those figures, even if MS doubled the current sales
I can use CAPITAL LETTERS, ALSO. : Nevermind the fact that long before that ever happened, there'd be a PS3. And an XBOX 2. What'll happen there? Who knows? I sure don't. Can't even begin to imagine. : In short... I'm really not sure where you're coming from there. Please
"All Corporations Merge Into Single Omni-Corp;
: Well... historically, in the console industry, the #3 man takes it in the
Neither is Nintendo. See? I'm telling you, it's gonna be like Ford/GM/DaimlerChrysler. : Yes, but time consuming, I really should be working :) You're not getting off THAT easy, you plucky bastard. |
|
Replies: |
Death of the Xbox? | FunkDaddy | 5/20/02 4:34 p.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox? | PCDestroyer | 5/20/02 4:46 p.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox? | Surrepticius | 5/20/02 4:58 p.m. |
Death of the Xbox??...My @$$ | Mutti | 5/20/02 6:48 p.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox??...My @$$ | Mr. Bobo | 5/20/02 8:07 p.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox? | ferrex | 5/20/02 6:03 p.m. |
Hurrah! | Kellen Squire | 5/20/02 11:00 p.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox? | Kanen Faud'r | 5/21/02 3:12 a.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox? | ferrex | 5/21/02 1:24 p.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox? | Kanen Faud'r | 5/21/02 2:12 p.m. |
What about the profits from... | Ulf | 5/21/02 3:08 p.m. |
Gross vs. Profit | Narcogen | 5/21/02 10:39 p.m. |
Re: Hard Drive | NthDegree256 | 5/21/02 11:12 p.m. |
Re: Hard Drive | NthDegree256 | 5/21/02 11:13 p.m. |
hard drive vs. memory card | Narcogen | 5/22/02 1:38 a.m. |
Re: hard drive vs. memory card | Mark Levin | 5/22/02 1:46 a.m. |
nice feature, just not essential | Narcogen | 5/22/02 4:39 a.m. |
Re: hard drive vs. memory card | Miguel Chavez | 5/22/02 1:51 a.m. |
Re: hard drive vs. memory card | poena.dare #CP# | 5/22/02 2:23 a.m. |
Re: hard drive vs. memory card | Mark Levin | 5/22/02 3:21 a.m. |
DVD Consortium Charges | Narcogen | 5/22/02 4:48 a.m. |
Re: DVD Consortium Charges | Louis Wu | 5/22/02 8:30 a.m. |
Re: DVD Consortium Charges | Narcogen | 5/23/02 1:33 a.m. |
Re: DVD Consortium Charges | Mark Levin | 5/23/02 2:15 a.m. |
Re: DVD Consortium Charges | Narcogen | 5/23/02 3:05 a.m. |
Re: DVD Consortium Charges | Mark Levin | 5/23/02 3:09 a.m. |
Re: DVD Consortium Charges | Narcogen | 5/24/02 4:14 a.m. |
xbox as music player | Narcogen | 5/22/02 4:45 a.m. |
The Console Cave | Narcogen | 5/22/02 4:42 a.m. |
Re: hard drive vs. memory card | SpudBoy | 5/22/02 1:52 a.m. |
PGR ghosts and Myth Filmz | Narcogen | 5/22/02 5:04 a.m. |
Re: Gross vs. Profit | vector40 | 5/21/02 11:28 p.m. |
Grosse Profit Pointe | Narcogen | 5/22/02 1:44 a.m. |
Re: Gross vs. Profit | Miguel Chavez | 5/22/02 1:22 a.m. |
Profit vs. Revenue | Narcogen | 5/22/02 1:52 a.m. |
Doomsayers vs MS Kool-Aid | Narcogen | 5/21/02 9:38 p.m. |
Re: Doomsayers vs MS Kool-Aid | Kellen Squire | 5/21/02 10:57 p.m. |
Kool Aid vs FUD | Narcogen | 5/22/02 4:18 a.m. |
*blink* | Kellen Squire | 5/22/02 6:29 p.m. |
Well, uh banshee "challenge" *NM* | Black_Jackal | 5/22/02 6:47 p.m. |
WHAT THE !@#$! | Black_Jackal | 5/22/02 6:51 p.m. |
Re: WHAT THE !@#$! | Narcogen | 5/23/02 2:40 a.m. |
SUPERFUD! :) | Narcogen | 5/23/02 2:38 a.m. |
Dratness! | Kellen Squire | 5/23/02 8:30 a.m. |
Re: SUPERFUD! :) | Kellen Squire | 5/23/02 9:43 a.m. |
Good Grief, this is great. *NM* | vector40 | 5/23/02 9:25 p.m. |
Re: SUPERFUD! :) | Narcogen | 5/24/02 4:09 a.m. |
Re: SUPERFUD IS FINALLY REPLIED TO | Kellen Squire | 5/24/02 12:23 a.m. |
Jesus. | Zapf Dingbats | 5/24/02 12:58 a.m. |
Re: Jesus. | Kellen Squire | 5/24/02 8:24 a.m. |
Re: Doomsayers vs MS Kool-Aid | Miguel Chavez | 5/22/02 1:33 a.m. |
Re: Doomsayers vs MS Kool-Aid | Narcogen | 5/22/02 4:54 a.m. |
Re: Death of the Xbox? | Cunbelin The Longwinded | 5/23/02 5:40 a.m. |
The HBO Forum Archive is maintained with WebBBS 4.33. |