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September 2011 REACH Population Report
Posted By: DEEP NNN <deep_nnn@hotmail.com>Date: 10/1/11 11:08 p.m.


These values are unofficial and collected manually by me from the Bungie REACH project page. I make no guarantees for the accuracy of this data and provided no quality control or quality assurance for my work in collecting it.
http://www.bungie.net/Projects/Reach/default.aspx

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In the following graph I attempted to offset Halo 3 values such that similar days of the week for September were compared. I am not 100% happy with the result but I still feel it is a better comparison than just using exact dates.
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September 2011 REACH UU/24hr
Date, Games, Unique Users
September 1, 2011 1,187,509 573,409
September 2, 2011 1,405,471 642,830
September 3, 2011 1,594,919 666,982
September 4, 2011 1,576,958 672,047
September 5, 2011
September 6, 2011 1,389,659 654,890
September 7, 2011 958,876 517,088
September 8, 2011 919,798 490,807
September 9, 2011 868,245 471,642
September 10, 2011 1,302,478 631,625
September 11, 2011 1,490,293 659,683
September 12, 2011 1,210,938 543,101
September 13, 2011 1,293,737 470,609
September 14, 2011 1,135,181 473,663
September 15, 2011 1,066,899 469,853
September 16, 2011 1,074,902 474,256
September 17, 2011 1,456,761 612,471
September 18, 2011 1,718,567 658,265
September 19, 2011 1,385,865 589,816
September 20, 2011 910,280 468,914
September 21, 2011 992,491 431,476
September 22, 2011 828,233 418,153
September 23, 2011 840,513 425,823
September 24, 2011 1,030,577 524,060
September 25, 2011 1,351,582 566,660
September 26, 2011 1,074,042 503,059
September 27, 2011 836,052 411,632
September 28, 2011 836,144 406,933
September 29, 2011 759,282 409,986
September 30, 2011 756,969 405,633

Disclosure for my collection methods.
I use a simple copy and paste from Bungie's REACH project page around noon local time. Not all values were collected at exactly that time. Occasionally collection could be off by several hours. I only guarantee that I have made no willful misrepresentations by deliberately skewing collection in such a manner that poor conclusions or comparisons could be made or that any numbers presented are anything other than attempts to collect data from Bungie.

Draw conclusions at your own risk.

My observations.
REACH's 24hr UU population in September experienced continued decreases with the end of the month being the lowest recorded values I have collected thus far.

Highest population value collected 672,047.

Lowest population value collected 405,633.

Weekends have typically had a higher population.

REACH population by the end of September 2011, is under performing by ~300,000/24hrs as compared to Halo 3 during September 2008. Unfortunately this statement has to be taken with a grain of salt because I only have three dates collected for Halo 3.

Conclusions
Halo REACH's population is somewhat healthy and somewhat stable.

Overall population is decreasing. Gears of War 3 may have been the biggest factor in the decrease.

No visible population spike occurred on or after September 21 when the title Update (TU) was applied.

Opinion
I think REACH was teasing me this month. I was expecting the population to dip below 400,000 this week. I was ready to point out the depressing milestone and then it didn't happen.

October may see a small population spike when the TU Beta playlists are implemented October 4. I am currently doubting a spike will occur. If anything we may see a flattening effect which would be better than a decrease.

Halo REACH is not dead but is noticeably fading. I am not expecting this horse to get back in the race until after Halo Anniversary is released November 15. If no DLC or some other new feature drops in February/March 2012, I expect continued decreases.

FPS fans need a good quality FPS title to play. Even with new AAA titles coming out REACH will continue to be a top tier AAA experience. Currently, only REACH can provide the best Halo experience. It's core fans will stick with it until Halo 4 but even they will take breaks from it.

If your Friends List is no longer showing anyone playing REACH, I recommend you get some new XBL friends.

Links to previous population reports
Newest to oldest.
http://carnage.bungie.org/haloforum/halo.forum.pl?read=1098060
http://carnage.bungie.org/haloforum/halo.forum.pl?read=1091242
http://carnage.bungie.org/haloforum/halo.forum.pl?read=1084475
http://hf.smallbits.com/haloforum/halo.forum.pl?read=1068845
http://carnage.bungie.org/haloforum/halo.forum.pl?read=1074439

Message Index



Replies:

September 2011 REACH Population ReportDEEP NNN 10/1/11 11:08 p.m.
     Re: September 2011 REACH Population ReportFyreWulff 10/2/11 12:08 a.m.
           Re: September 2011 REACH Population ReportDEEP NNN 10/2/11 7:37 a.m.
                 Re: September 2011 REACH Population ReportTiny 10/2/11 10:18 a.m.
                       Re: September 2011 REACH Population Reportkatancik 10/2/11 7:43 p.m.
                 Re: September 2011 REACH Population ReportFyreWulff 10/2/11 11:29 p.m.
     Re: September 2011 REACH Population ReportSIX min WHISTLE 10/3/11 12:51 a.m.
           Re: September 2011 REACH Population Reportkatancik 10/3/11 10:28 a.m.
                 Re: September 2011 REACH Population ReportSIX min WHISTLE 10/3/11 2:41 p.m.
     REACH Population UU/24hrDEEP NNN 10/3/11 6:12 p.m.
           Re: REACH Population UU/24hr 362,425DEEP NNN 10/4/11 11:16 a.m.
                 Re: REACH Population UU/24hr 391,781DEEP NNN 10/5/11 10:18 a.m.



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