Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou


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Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou

Posted By: Clouds Date: 6/6/22 7:41 a.m.
In Response To: Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou (Clouds)

: Hamish, thanks for helping me remember that data point!
: VikingBoyBilly, brilliant! After pondering this darker question for a bit I
: needed that laugh. :-) Of course, as you mentioned your final number is
: pretty realistic, or at least within the realm of believability for a
: science fiction story.
: I suspect that a sadistic computer was directly responsible for these deaths.
: So, approaching this question like a sadistic computer... actually seems
: very reasonable to me. Thanks for your input!
Two additional contributions to the discussion:
1.) Crude Mortality Rate (CMR) using VikingBobBilly's calculations
Keely, Reed, & Waldman's (2001) "Understanding Mortality Patterns in Complex Humanitarian Emergencies", suggests the use of the following statistic:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK223340/
"In complex emergencies, the crude mortality rate (CMR) is often expressed as the number of deaths per 10,000 population per day during the acute phase of an emergency. Calculating a daily rate has been considered to be appropriate since conditions can change dramatically on a daily basis and the large base of 10,000 per day is used to express events in whole numbers."
To get deaths per day I'll divide 777,600,000 by 90 days, which is 8,640,000.
To calculate CMR I'll divide 8,640,000 (deaths per day) by 7,776,000,000 (total population) and then multiply the result by 10,000, which gives us 11.1111(repeating).
Rounded down to the nearest whole number the CMR is 11 deaths per 10,000 Martians per day.
11
2.) The 11th Question of the Week
The Seventh HoTBob Competition's 11th question of the week was "What disappeared at a rate of one every five seconds?". I was surprised to learn the answer was not starving Martians. Instead, the correct answer is the following:
"The 24 ships of Pfhor Battle Group Three orbiting Lh'owon were destroyed by Durandal in two minutes, an average of one ship every five seconds."
Probably just interesting trivia and nothing more, but I thought it belonged in this discussion. :-)

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: Two additional contributions to the discussion: 1.) Crude Mortality Rate : (CMR) using VikingBobBilly's calculations : Keely, Reed, & Waldman's (2001) "Understanding Mortality Patterns in : Complex Humanitarian Emergencies", suggests the use of the following : statistic: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK223340/ : "In complex emergencies, the crude mortality rate (CMR) is often : expressed as the number of deaths per 10,000 population per day during the : acute phase of an emergency. Calculating a daily rate has been considered : to be appropriate since conditions can change dramatically on a daily : basis and the large base of 10,000 per day is used to express events in : whole numbers." : To get deaths per day I'll divide 777,600,000 by 90 days, which is 8,640,000. : To calculate CMR I'll divide 8,640,000 (deaths per day) by 7,776,000,000 : (total population) and then multiply the result by 10,000, which gives us : 11.1111(repeating). : Rounded down to the nearest whole number the CMR is 11 deaths per 10,000 : Martians per day. : 11 : 2.) The 11th Question of the Week : The Seventh HoTBob Competition's 11th question of the week was "What : disappeared at a rate of one every five seconds?". I was surprised to : learn the answer was not starving Martians. Instead, the correct answer is : the following: "The 24 ships of Pfhor Battle Group Three orbiting : Lh'owon were destroyed by Durandal in two minutes, an average of one ship : every five seconds." : Probably just interesting trivia and nothing more, but I thought it belonged : in this discussion. :-)

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Question: Population of Mars Colony before coup?	Clouds	6/3/22 8:05 a.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	Godot	6/3/22 9:10 a.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	VikingBoyBilly	6/3/22 12:32 p.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	Clouds	6/4/22 11:16 a.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	Clouds	6/6/22 7:41 a.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	VikingBoyBilly	6/6/22 12:45 p.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	Clouds	6/7/22 3:19 a.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	Clouds	6/7/22 3:22 a.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	Godot	6/7/22 4:29 a.m.
Re: Question: Population of Mars Colony before cou	Clouds	6/7/22 5:07 a.m.



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	Message: : Two additional contributions to the discussion: 1.) Crude Mortality Rate : (CMR) using VikingBobBilly's calculations : Keely, Reed, & Waldman's (2001) "Understanding Mortality Patterns in : Complex Humanitarian Emergencies", suggests the use of the following : statistic: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK223340/ : "In complex emergencies, the crude mortality rate (CMR) is often : expressed as the number of deaths per 10,000 population per day during the : acute phase of an emergency. Calculating a daily rate has been considered : to be appropriate since conditions can change dramatically on a daily : basis and the large base of 10,000 per day is used to express events in : whole numbers." : To get deaths per day I'll divide 777,600,000 by 90 days, which is 8,640,000. : To calculate CMR I'll divide 8,640,000 (deaths per day) by 7,776,000,000 : (total population) and then multiply the result by 10,000, which gives us : 11.1111(repeating). : Rounded down to the nearest whole number the CMR is 11 deaths per 10,000 : Martians per day. : 11 : 2.) The 11th Question of the Week : The Seventh HoTBob Competition's 11th question of the week was "What : disappeared at a rate of one every five seconds?". I was surprised to : learn the answer was not starving Martians. Instead, the correct answer is : the following: "The 24 ships of Pfhor Battle Group Three orbiting : Lh'owon were destroyed by Durandal in two minutes, an average of one ship : every five seconds." : Probably just interesting trivia and nothing more, but I thought it belonged : in this discussion. :-)
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